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Pakistan's Pragmatic Shift in Afghan Policy: Navigating a Complex Landscape

In the ever-evolving dynamics of international relations, Pakistan's recent pivot in its Afghan policy marks a significant departure from its earlier stance, adding a layer of complexity to the already intricate situation in the region. The shift, articulated by Pakistan’s Permanent Representative at the United Nations, Munir Akram, during a UN Security Council session on the current situation in Afghanistan, introduces new conditions for future engagements with the Afghan Taliban. This nuanced transformation is a response to the escalating tensions between Pakistan and the Afghan government, particularly concerning the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), which has been carrying out terrorist attacks on Pakistani soil.

For a substantial period after the fall of Kabul in August 2021, Pakistan actively urged the international community to engage with the Afghan Taliban, considering them a political reality that needed acknowledgment and interaction. The global community, however, held reservations, given the Taliban's history and their actions during their previous regime. Pakistan's earlier stance aimed at fostering diplomatic ties and stability in the region, but as tensions simmered between Islamabad and Kabul, this position gradually underwent a silent transformation.

Ambassador Akram's recent statement at the UN Security Council officially confirmed this policy shift. It conditions any future engagement with the Afghan Taliban on the actions they take against terrorist outfits, notably the TTP. The move reflects Pakistan's acknowledgment of the growing threat posed by the TTP and its commitment to addressing the security concerns that have strained relations between the two neighbors.

Akram's emphasis on the necessity for any engagement to be based on the Afghan interim government's response to core international concerns underscores a pragmatic approach. These concerns include the protection of human rights, especially those of women and girls, political inclusivity, and decisive action against a spectrum of terrorist organizations, not limited to the Islamic State (Daesh) but also encompassing the TTP and other entities that threaten the security of Afghanistan's neighbors.

The ambassador's concern about the continued presence of terrorist groups in Afghanistan resonates globally, as it poses a significant threat not only to Afghanistan but to the entire region and, potentially, the world. Akram pointed out that, despite reported successes in countering Daesh, evidence suggests that various terrorist groups still operate in Afghanistan, seemingly under the protection of the Afghan interim government. This raises alarms about the potential for the recurrence and proliferation of terrorism, a scenario reminiscent of the period before the 9/11 attacks.

Highlighting recent attacks by the TTP on Pakistani security personnel and the increasing sophistication of these attacks, Akram shed light on the origin of the advanced military equipment used by the TTP. The weapons, he claimed, were sourced from considerable stocks left behind by foreign forces when they departed Afghanistan in 2021. This revelation raises crucial questions about the TTP's acquisition of weapons and demands a thorough investigation by the United Nations to identify the source and prevent further arming of terrorist organizations.

In a diplomatic move, Akram urged the United Nations to invigorate the work of the 1988 committee, pushing for action by the Afghan interim government against all terrorist groups in Afghanistan. He also called for empowering the monitoring team to analyze and inform the committee and the Security Council about progress made on counter-terrorism in Afghanistan. This reflects Pakistan's commitment to international cooperation and multilateral efforts in addressing the shared challenge of terrorism.

On the domestic front, Akram defended Pakistan’s policy of evicting undocumented Afghans, shedding light on the significant toll the country has borne as a host to 1.4 million registered Afghan refugees for over four decades. He underscored the lack of substantial support from the international community in managing this refugee population and called on the Afghan interim government to collaborate with the UN High Commission of Refugees for the repatriation of Afghan refugees.

Akram's statement acknowledged the economic and social impact of hosting millions of undocumented Afghans, who, besides posing potential security threats through terrorist 'sleeper cells,' are also involved in activities such as property mafias and drug trafficking. He highlighted the negative impact of this large influx on Pakistan’s economy and job market, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive plan to repatriate illegal foreigners.

While defending the repatriation plan, Akram reassured that it is being implemented in the most humane way possible. He clarified that there is no forcible return, with over 98% of the 244,000 Afghans who departed through Torkham last month being voluntary returns. The Chaman crossing exhibited a similar pattern. Akram emphasized exceptions for those with proof of registration, Afghan citizenship cards, and vulnerable individuals.

In essence, Pakistan's pragmatic shift in Afghan policy reflects a careful recalibration of its diplomatic approach in response to evolving circumstances. This transformation acknowledges the pressing security concerns posed by terrorist groups operating from Afghanistan, particularly the TTP. It aligns Pakistan's engagement with the Afghan Taliban to concrete actions against terrorism, demonstrating a commitment to regional stability and the eradication of threats that have plagued the area for decades.

The success of future engagements with the Afghan interim government will depend on its responsiveness to global concerns, including human rights and counter-terrorism measures. As the situation continues to unfold, Pakistan's nuanced approach provides an opportunity for the international community to reevaluate its strategies and collaborate in addressing the multifaceted challenges in the region. Only through sustained diplomatic efforts, international cooperation, and a comprehensive understanding of the complex geopolitical landscape can lasting stability and security be achieved in Afghanistan and its neighboring countries.

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